Last data update: May 06, 2024. (Total: 46732 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 506 Records) |
Query Trace: Green J[original query] |
---|
Evaluation of crAssphages as a potential marker of human viral contamination in environmental water and fresh leafy greens
Suh SH , Lee JS , Kim SH , Vinjé J , Kim SH , Park GW . Front Microbiol 2024 15 1374568 CrAssphages are human gut bacteriophages with potential use as an indicator of human fecal contamination in water and other environmental systems. We determined the prevalence and abundance of crAssphages in water, food, and fecal samples and compared these estimates with the prevalence of norovirus. Samples were tested using two crAssphage-specific qPCR assays (CPQ056 and TN201-203) and for norovirus using TaqMan realtime RT-PCR. CrAssphage was detected in 40% of human fecal specimens, 61% of irrigation water samples, 58.5% of stream water samples, and 68.5% of fresh leafy greens samples. Interestingly, across all sample categories, crAssphage concentrations were 2-3 log10 higher than norovirus concentrations. The correlation of detection of crAssphage and norovirus was significant for the irrigation water samples (r = 0.74, p = 7.4e-06). Sequences obtained from crAssphage positive samples from human fecal and stream water samples phylogenetically clustered with genotype I crAssphages, whereas sequences derived from irrigation water samples clustered differently from other genotypes. Our data show that crAssphages were prevalent in norovirus-positive water samples and in fresh leafy green samples, there was a strong correlation between the presence of crAssphage and norovirus. CrAssphage genomic copies were consistently higher than norovirus copies in all sample types. Overall, our findings suggest that crAssphages could be used as reliable indicators to monitor fecal-borne virus contamination within the food safety chain. |
Assessment of the standardized surveillance case definition for neonatal abstinence syndrome by the Council Of State and Territorial Epidemiologists, 4 jurisdictions, 2020-2021
Czarnik M , Oliver D , Goodson V , Nestoridi E , Michael Bryan J , Hinds D , Clark C , Green C , Small J , Pabst L . Public Health Rep 2024 Objectives: In 2019, the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists ratified a multitiered standardized surveillance case definition (SSCD) for neonatal abstinence syndrome (NAS) to minimize variability in definitions across states. This evaluation of the tier 1 NAS SSCD aimed to identify common challenges and opportunities for enhancement to support consistent implementation of the definition. Methods: This mixed-methods analysis consisted of 3 virtual focus groups in March 2021 with site principal investigators, medical record abstractors, and data analysts (1 focus group each) from 4 jurisdictions piloting the tier 1 NAS SSCD. We analyzed focus group transcripts to create a codebook. We collected written reports in February 2022 from the 4 jurisdictions, conducted thematic analysis of focus group transcripts and written reports to identify themes, and collected surveillance data on infants identified with NAS born from January 2020 through December 2021 from the pilot sites. We analyzed surveillance data to further inform identified themes. We examined agreement among tier 1 classifications assigned independently by each pilot site and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to cases of NAS. Results: Three major themes emerged in the data: challenges abstracting data on withdrawal signs from the medical record, difficulty determining the time frame of prenatal substance exposure, and challenges assigning case classifications. In a comparison of tier 1 classifications assigned by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the sites, 82.1% of cases in the dataset were concordant. Conclusions: We identified several opportunities to modify the SSCD to promote consistency and ease implementation across jurisdictions. Promoting consistent implementation supports comparability of NAS incidence estimates across jurisdictions, evaluation of prevention efforts, and allocation of resources to support families. © 2024, Association of Schools and Programs of Public Health. |
Corrigendum: Persisting Cryptococcus yeast species Vishniacozyma victoriae and Cryptococcus neoformans elicit unique airway inflammation in mice following repeated exposure
Rush RE , Blackwood CB , Lemons AR , Dannemiller KC , Green BJ , Croston TL . Front Cell Infect Microbiol 2024 14 1381148 [This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fcimb.2023.1067475.]. |
Satellite data for environmental justice: a scoping review of the literature in the United States
Sayyed TK . Environ Res Lett 2024 19 (3) In support of the environmental justice (EJ) movement, researchers, activists, and policymakers often use environmental data to document evidence of the unequal distribution of environmental burdens and benefits along lines of race, class, and other socioeconomic characteristics. Numerous limitations, such as spatial or temporal discontinuities, exist with commonly used data measurement techniques, which include ground monitoring and federal screening tools. Satellite data is well poised to address these gaps in EJ measurement and monitoring; however, little is known about how satellite data has advanced findings in EJ or can help to promote EJ through interventions. Thus, this scoping review aims to (1) explore trends in study design, topics, geographic scope, and satellite datasets used to research EJ, (2) synthesize findings from studies that use satellite data to characterize disparities and inequities across socio-demographic groups for various environmental categories, and (3) capture how satellite data are relevant to policy and real-world impact. Following PRISMA extension guidelines for scoping reviews, we retrieved 81 articles that applied satellite data for EJ research in the United States from 2000 to 2022. The majority of the studies leveraged the technical advantages of satellite data to identify socio-demographic disparities in exposure to environmental risk factors, such as air pollution, and access to environmental benefits, such as green space, at wider coverage and with greater precision than previously possible. These disparities in exposure and access are associated with health outcomes such as increased cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, mental illness, and mortality. Research using satellite data to illuminate EJ concerns can contribute to efforts to mitigate environmental inequalities and reduce health disparities. Satellite data for EJ research can therefore support targeted interventions or influence planning and policy changes, but significant work remains to facilitate the application of satellite data for policy and community impact. © 2024 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. |
Characteristics of alcohol, marijuana, and other drug use among persons aged 13-18 years being assessed for substance use disorder treatment - United States, 2014-2022
Connolly S , Govoni TD , Jiang X , Terranella A , Guy GP Jr , Green JL , Mikosz C . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2024 73 (5) 93-98 Substance use often begins during adolescence, placing youths at risk for fatal overdose and substance use disorders (SUD) in adulthood. Understanding the motivations reported by adolescents for using alcohol, marijuana, and other drugs and the persons with whom they use these substances could guide strategies to prevent or reduce substance use and its related consequences among adolescents. A cross-sectional study was conducted among adolescents being assessed for SUD treatment in the United States during 2014-2022, to examine self-reported motivations for using substances and the persons with whom substances were used. The most commonly reported motivation for substance use was "to feel mellow, calm, or relaxed" (73%), with other stress-related motivations among the top reasons, including "to stop worrying about a problem or to forget bad memories" (44%) and "to help with depression or anxiety" (40%); one half (50%) reported using substances "to have fun or experiment." The majority of adolescents reported using substances with friends (81%) or using alone (50%). These findings suggest that interventions related to reducing stress and addressing mental health concerns might reduce these leading motivations for substance use among adolescents. Education for adolescents about harm reduction strategies, including the danger of using drugs while alone and how to recognize and respond to an overdose, can reduce the risk for fatal overdose. |
Folate-related gene variants in Irish families affected by neural tube defects.
Fisk Green R , Byrne J , Crider KS , Gallagher M , Koontz D , Berry RJ . Front Genet 2013 4 223 Periconceptional folic acid use can often prevent neural tube defects (NTDs). Variants of genes involved in folate metabolism in mothers and children have been associated with occurrence of NTDs. We identified Irish families with individuals affected by neural tube defects. In these families, we observed that neural tube defects and birth defects overall occurred at a higher rate in the maternal lineage compared with the paternal lineage. The goal of this study was to look for evidence for genetic effects that could explain the discrepancy in the occurrence of these birth defects in the maternal vs. paternal lineage. We genotyped blood samples from 322 individuals from NTD-affected Irish families, identified through their membership in spina bifida associations. We looked for differences in distribution in maternal vs. paternal lineages of five genetic polymorphisms: the DHFR 19 bp deletion, MTHFD1 1958G>A, MTHFR 1298A>C, MTHFR 677C>T, and SLC19A1 80A>G. In addition to looking at genotypes individually, we determined the number of genotypes associated with decreased folate metabolism in each relative ("risk genotypes") and compared the distribution of these genotypes in maternal vs. paternal relatives. Overall, maternal relatives had a higher number of genotypes associated with lower folate metabolism than paternal relatives (p = 0.017). We expected that relatives would share the same risk genotype as the individuals with NTDs and/or their mothers. However, we observed that maternal relatives had an over-abundance of any risk genotype, rather than one specific genotype. The observed genetic effects suggest an epigenetic mechanism in which decreased folate metabolism results in epigenetic alterations related to the increased rate of NTDs and other birth defects seen in the maternal lineage. Future studies on the etiology of NTDs and other birth defects could benefit from including multigenerational extended families, in order to explore potential epigenetic mechanisms. |
Cost-effectiveness of expanded latent TB infection testing and treatment: Lynn City, Massachusetts, USA
Beeler Asay GR , Woodruff R , Sanderson DM , Fisher CF , Marks SM , Green VD , Tibbs AM , Hill AN , Haptu HH , McManus D , Paradise RK , Auguste-Nelson C , Cochran JJ . Int J Tuberc Lung Dis 2024 28 (1) 21-28 BACKGROUND: Between October 2016 and March 2019, Lynn Community Health Center in Massachusetts implemented a targeted latent TB infection testing and treatment (TTT) program, increasing testing from a baseline of 1,200 patients tested to an average of 3,531 patients tested, or 9% of the population per year.METHODS: We compared pre-implementation TTT, represented by the first two quarters of implementation data, to TTT, represented by 12 quarters of data. Time, diagnostic, and laboratory resources were estimated using micro-costing. Other cost and testing data were obtained from the electronic health record, pharmaceutical claims, and published reimbursement rates. A Markov cohort model estimated future health outcomes and cost-effectiveness from a societal perspective in 2020 US dollars. Monte Carlo simulation generated 95% uncertainty intervals.RESULTS: The TTT program exhibited extended dominance over baseline pre-intervention testing and had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of US$52,603 (US$22,008â-"US$95,360). When compared to baseline pre-TTT testing, the TTT program averted an estimated additional 7.12 TB cases, 3.49 hospitalizations, and 0.16 deaths per lifetime cohort each year.CONCLUSIONS: TTT was more cost-effective than baseline pre-implementation testing. Lynn Community Health Centerâ-™s experience can help inform other clinics considering expanding latent TB infection testing. |
Decrypting seasonal patterns of key pollen taxa in cool temperate Australia: A multi-barcode metabarcoding analysis
Tegart LJ , Gabriele S , Dickinson JL , Green BJ , Barberán A , Marthick JR , Bissett A , Johnston FH , Jones PJ . Environ Res 2023 243 117808 Pollen allergies pose a considerable global public health concern. Allergy risk can vary significantly within plant families, yet some key pollen allergens can only be identified to family level by current optical methods. Pollen information with greater taxonomic resolution is therefore required to best support allergy prevention and self-management. We used environmental DNA (eDNA) metabarcoding to deepen taxonomic insights into the seasonal composition of airborne pollen in cool temperate Australia, a region with high rates of allergic respiratory disease. In Hobart, Tasmania, we collected routine weekly air samples from December 2018 until October 2020 and sequenced the internal transcribed spacer 2 (ITS2) and chloroplastic tRNA-Leucine tRNA-Phenylalanine intergenic spacer (trnL-trnF) regions in order to address the following questions: a) What is the genus-level diversity of known and potential aeroallergens in Hobart, in particular, in the families Poaceae, Cupressaceae and Myrtaceae? b) How do the atmospheric concentrations of these taxa change over time, and c) Does trnL-trnF enhance resolution of biodiversity when used in addition to ITS2? Our results suggest that individuals in the region are exposed to temperate grasses including Poa and Bromus in the peak grass pollen season, however low levels of exposure to the subtropical grass Cynodon may occur in autumn and winter. Within Cupressaceae, both metabarcodes showed that exposure is predominantly to pollen from the introduced genera Cupressus and Juniperus. Only ITS2 detected the native genus, Callitris. Both metabarcodes detected Eucalyptus as the major Myrtaceae genus, with trnL-trnF exhibiting primer bias for this family. These findings help refine our understanding of allergy triggers in Tasmania and highlight the utility of multiple metabarcodes in aerobiome studies. |
Optimization of Aspergillus versicolor culture and aerosolization in a murine model of inhalational fungal exposure
Blackwood CB , Croston TL , Barnes MA , Lemons AR , Rush RE , Goldsmith T , McKinney WG , Anderson S , Weaver KL , Sulyok M , Park JH , Germolec D , Beezhold DH , Green B . J Fungi (Basel) 2023 9 (11) Aspergillus versicolor is ubiquitous in the environment and is particularly abundant in damp indoor spaces. Exposure to Aspergillus species, as well as other environmental fungi, has been linked to respiratory health outcomes, including asthma, allergy, and even local or disseminated infection. However, the pulmonary immunological mechanisms associated with repeated exposure to A. versicolor have remained relatively uncharacterized. Here, A. versicolor was cultured and desiccated on rice then placed in an acoustical generator system to achieve aerosolization. Mice were challenged with titrated doses of aerosolized conidia to examine deposition, lymphoproliferative properties, and immunotoxicological response to repeated inhalation exposures. The necessary dose to induce lymphoproliferation was identified, but not infection-like pathology. Further, it was determined that the dose was able to initiate localized immune responses. The data presented in this study demonstrate an optimized and reproducible method for delivering A. versicolor conidia to rodents via nose-only inhalation. Additionally, the feasibility of a long-term repeated exposure study was established. This experimental protocol can be used in future studies to investigate the physiological effects of repeated pulmonary exposure to fungal conidia utilizing a practical and relevant mode of delivery. In total, these data constitute an important foundation for subsequent research in the field. |
Multi-model prediction of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease with machine learning for identification of important regional climatic drivers
Holcomb KM , Staples JE , Nett RJ , Beard CB , Petersen LR , Benjamin SG , Green BW , Jones H , Johansson MA . Geohealth 2023 7 (11) e2023GH000906 West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of mosquito-borne illness in the continental United States (CONUS). Spatial heterogeneity in historical incidence, environmental factors, and complex ecology make prediction of spatiotemporal variation in WNV transmission challenging. Machine learning provides promising tools for identification of important variables in such situations. To predict annual WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) cases in CONUS (2015-2021), we fitted 10 probabilistic models with variation in complexity from naïve to machine learning algorithm and an ensemble. We made predictions in each of nine climate regions on a hexagonal grid and evaluated each model's predictive accuracy. Using the machine learning models (random forest and neural network), we identified the relative importance and variation in ranking of predictors (historical WNND cases, climate anomalies, human demographics, and land use) across regions. We found that historical WNND cases and population density were among the most important factors while anomalies in temperature and precipitation often had relatively low importance. While the relative performance of each model varied across climatic regions, the magnitude of difference between models was small. All models except the naïve model had non-significant differences in performance relative to the baseline model (negative binomial model fit per hexagon). No model, including the ensemble or more complex machine learning models, outperformed models based on historical case counts on the hexagon or region level; these models are good forecasting benchmarks. Further work is needed to assess if predictive capacity can be improved beyond that of these historical baselines. |
The relationship between the intestinal microbiome and body mass index in children with cystic fibrosis
Bernard R , Shilts MH , Strickland BA , Boone HH , Payne DC , Brown RF , Edwards K , Das SR , Nicholson MR . J Cyst Fibros 2023 BACKGROUND: The nutritional status of children with cystic fibrosis (CF), as assessed by their body mass index percentile (BMIp), is a critical determinant of long-term health outcomes. While the intestinal microbiome plays an important role in nutrition, little is known regarding the relationship of the microbiome and BMIp in children with CF. METHODS: Pediatric patients (< 18 years old) with CF and healthy comparison patients (HCs) were enrolled in the study and stool samples obtained. BMIp was categorized as Green Zone (BMIp > 50th), Yellow Zone (BMIp 25th-49th) and Red Zone (BMIp < 25th). Intestinal microbiome assessment was performed via 16S rRNA gene sequencing; microbial richness, diversity, and differential species abundance were assessed. RESULTS: Stool samples were collected from 107 children with CF and 50 age-matched HCs. Compared to HCs, children with CF were found to have lower bacterial richness, alpha-diversity, and a different microbial composition. When evaluating them by their BMIp color zone, richness and alpha-diversity were lowest in those in the Red Zone. In addition, an unclassified amplicon sequence variant (ASV) of Blautia, a known butyrate-producing anaerobe, was of lowest abundance in children in the Red Zone. CONCLUSION: Children with CF have a dysbiotic intestinal microbiome with specific changes that accompany changes in BMIp. Longitudinal assessments of the microbiome and its metabolic activities over time are needed to better understand how improvements in the microbiome may improve nutrition and enhance long-term survival in children with CF. |
Range of the perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) safe dose for human health: An international collaboration
Burgoon LD , Clewell HJ , Cox T , Dekant W , Dell LD , Deyo JA , Dourson ML , Gadagbui BK , Goodrum P , Green LC , Vijayavel K , Kline TR , House-Knight T , Luster MI , Manning T , Nathanail P , Pagone F , Richardson K , Severo-Peixe T , Sharma A , Smith JS , Verma N , Wright J . Regul Toxicol Pharmacol 2023 145 Many government agencies and expert groups have estimated a dose-rate of perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) that would protect human health. Most of these evaluations are based on the same studies (whether of humans, laboratory animals, or both), and all note various uncertainties in our existing knowledge. Nonetheless, the values of these various, estimated, safe-doses vary widely, with some being more than 100,000 fold different. This sort of discrepancy invites scrutiny and explanation. Otherwise what is the lay public to make of this disparity? The Steering Committee of the Alliance for Risk Assessment (2022) called for scientists interested in attempting to understand and narrow these disparities. An advisory committee of nine scientists from four countries was selected from nominations received, and a subsequent invitation to scientists internationally led to the formation of three technical teams (for a total of 24 scientists from 8 countries). The teams reviewed relevant information and independently developed ranges for estimated PFOA safe doses. All three teams determined that the available epidemiologic information could not form a reliable basis for a PFOA safe dose-assessment in the absence of mechanistic data that are relevant for humans at serum concentrations seen in the general population. Based instead on dose-response data from five studies of PFOA-exposed laboratory animals, we estimated that PFOA dose-rates 10–70 ng/kg-day are protective of human health. © 2023 Elsevier Inc. |
The Human Phenotype Ontology in 2024: phenotypes around the world
Gargano MA , Matentzoglu N , Coleman B , Addo-Lartey EB , Anagnostopoulos AV , Anderton J , Avillach P , Bagley AM , Bakštein E , Balhoff JP , Baynam G , Bello SM , Berk M , Bertram H , Bishop S , Blau H , Bodenstein DF , Botas P , Boztug K , Čady J , Callahan TJ , Cameron R , Carbon SJ , Castellanos F , Caufield JH , Chan LE , Chute CG , Cruz-Rojo J , Dahan-Oliel N , Davids JR , de Dieuleveult M , de Souza V , de Vries BBA , de Vries E , DePaulo JR , Derfalvi B , Dhombres F , Diaz-Byrd C , Dingemans AJM , Donadille B , Duyzend M , Elfeky R , Essaid S , Fabrizzi C , Fico G , Firth HV , Freudenberg-Hua Y , Fullerton JM , Gabriel DL , Gilmour K , Giordano J , Goes FS , Moses RG , Green I , Griese M , Groza T , Gu W , Guthrie J , Gyori B , Hamosh A , Hanauer M , Hanušová K , He YO , Hegde H , Helbig I , Holasová K , Hoyt CT , Huang S , Hurwitz E , Jacobsen JOB , Jiang X , Joseph L , Keramatian K , King B , Knoflach K , Koolen DA , Kraus ML , Kroll C , Kusters M , Ladewig MS , Lagorce D , Lai MC , Lapunzina P , Laraway B , Lewis-Smith D , Li X , Lucano C , Majd M , Marazita ML , Martinez-Glez V , McHenry TH , McInnis MG , McMurry JA , Mihulová M , Millett CE , Mitchell PB , Moslerová V , Narutomi K , Nematollahi S , Nevado J , Nierenberg AA , Čajbiková NN , Nurnberger JI Jr , Ogishima S , Olson D , Ortiz A , Pachajoa H , Perez de Nanclares G , Peters A , Putman T , Rapp CK , Rath A , Reese J , Rekerle L , Roberts AM , Roy S , Sanders SJ , Schuetz C , Schulte EC , Schulze TG , Schwarz M , Scott K , Seelow D , Seitz B , Shen Y , Similuk MN , Simon ES , Singh B , Smedley D , Smith CL , Smolinsky JT , Sperry S , Stafford E , Stefancsik R , Steinhaus R , Strawbridge R , Sundaramurthi JC , Talapova P , Tenorio Castano JA , Tesner P , Thomas RH , Thurm A , Turnovec M , van Gijn ME , Vasilevsky NA , Vlčková M , Walden A , Wang K , Wapner R , Ware JS , Wiafe AA , Wiafe SA , Wiggins LD , Williams AE , Wu C , Wyrwoll MJ , Xiong H , Yalin N , Yamamoto Y , Yatham LN , Yocum AK , Young AH , Yüksel Z , Zandi PP , Zankl A , Zarante I , Zvolský M , Toro S , Carmody LC , Harris NL , Munoz-Torres MC , Danis D , Mungall CJ , Köhler S , Haendel MA , Robinson PN . Nucleic Acids Res 2023 52 D1333-D1346 The Human Phenotype Ontology (HPO) is a widely used resource that comprehensively organizes and defines the phenotypic features of human disease, enabling computational inference and supporting genomic and phenotypic analyses through semantic similarity and machine learning algorithms. The HPO has widespread applications in clinical diagnostics and translational research, including genomic diagnostics, gene-disease discovery, and cohort analytics. In recent years, groups around the world have developed translations of the HPO from English to other languages, and the HPO browser has been internationalized, allowing users to view HPO term labels and in many cases synonyms and definitions in ten languages in addition to English. Since our last report, a total of 2239 new HPO terms and 49235 new HPO annotations were developed, many in collaboration with external groups in the fields of psychiatry, arthrogryposis, immunology and cardiology. The Medical Action Ontology (MAxO) is a new effort to model treatments and other measures taken for clinical management. Finally, the HPO consortium is contributing to efforts to integrate the HPO and the GA4GH Phenopacket Schema into electronic health records (EHRs) with the goal of more standardized and computable integration of rare disease data in EHRs. |
A multi-city study of indoor air quality in green vs non-green low-income housing
Rabito FA , Werthmann DW , Straubing R , Adamkiewicz G , Reponen T , Ashley PJ , Chew GL . Environ Res 2023 240 117576 OBJECTIVES: The condition of the home is a strong predictor of exposure to environmental contaminants, with low-income households being particularly vulnerable. Therefore, improving housing standards is a priority. Housing built to "green" standards, with improved building methods and materials, has been suggested to reduce contaminants. However, evidence is limited as to which contaminants are reduced. The Green Housing Study was conducted to address this issue. The study hypothesis was that housing built using green components has lower concentrations of environmental contaminants compared to conventional housing. METHODS: A repeated-measures, 12-month cohort study was performed in three U.S. cities. Data were collected in the home at three time points throughout a year. The level of contaminants were estimated using air samples for particulate matter and black carbon, dust samples for aeroallergens and pesticides, and resident or study staff reporting evidence of mold. To investigate source(s) of PM(2.5) and black carbon, multivariable models using stepwise variable selection were developed. RESULTS: In adjusted generalized estimating equations (GEE) models, black carbon concentration (μg/m(3)) (β = -0.22, 95% CI = -0.38 to -0.06, p = 0.01), permethrin (OR = 0.28, 95% CI = 0.15-0.49, p < 0.0001), and reported mold (OR = 0.29, 95% CI = 0.13-0.68, p = 0.003) were significantly lower in green homes. Cockroach antigen was also lower in green homes (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.33-1.08, p = 0.09), although not statistically significant. We found that 68% of PM(2.5) was explained by dwelling type and smoking and 42% of black carbon was explained by venting while cooking and use of a gas stove. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides quantitative data suggesting benefits of incorporating green building practices on the level of numerous environmental contaminants known to be associated with health. Occupant behavior, particularly smoking, is an important contributor to indoor air pollution. |
Sources of nonmedically used prescription psychotherapeutic drugs using real-world data from adolescents and adults assessed for substance use treatment--2014-2022
Jiang X , Govoni TD , Illg Z , Connolly S , Green JL , Guy GP Jr . Res Social Adm Pharm 2023 BACKGROUND: Nonmedical use (NMU) of prescription psychotherapeutic drugs (PPD) may increase risk for significant morbidity and mortality in the overdose crisis. OBJECTIVE: This study examines sources of PPD using real-world data from adolescents and adults reporting past 30-day NMU of PPDs. METHODS: A convenience sample of individuals aged ≥10 years assessed for substance use disorders (SUD) treatment was analyzed using the 2014-2022 National Addictions Vigilance Intervention and Prevention Program datasets. PPD include prescription opioids, prescription tranquilizers/sedatives, and prescription stimulants. RESULTS: Overall, among assessments of adolescents aged 10-18 years (N = 1991) and young adults aged 19-24 years (N = 15,166), "family/friend" (46.08-47.41 %) and "dealer" (33.82-42.71 %) were the most common sources. Among assessments of adults aged ≥25 years (N = 89,225), "own prescription" was the most common source and increased in frequency as age increased. Across all age groups, "family/friend" was the most frequent source for all drug classes (41.96-48.76 %) except for nonmedically used buprenorphine/methadone, for which "own prescription" was the most common source (51.85 %) among adults. CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates heterogeneity in sources of nonmedically used PPD across age groups. Tailored prevention strategies for different age groups and improving timely access to medical care to ensure proper treatment of chronic medical conditions including SUD are needed. |
Assessing the relationship between cyanobacterial blooms and respiratory-related hospital visits: Green bay, Wisconsin 2017-2019
Murray JF , Lavery AM , Schaeffer BA , Seegers BN , Pennington AF , Hilborn ED , Boerger S , Runkle JD , Loftin K , Graham J , Stumpf R , Koch A , Backer L . Int J Hyg Environ Health 2023 255 114272 Potential acute and chronic human health effects associated with exposure to cyanobacteria and cyanotoxins, including respiratory symptoms, are an understudied public health concern. We examined the relationship between estimated cyanobacteria biomass and the frequency of respiratory-related hospital visits for residents living near Green Bay, Lake Michigan, Wisconsin during 2017-2019. Remote sensing data from the Cyanobacteria Assessment Network was used to approximate cyanobacteria exposure through creation of a metric for cyanobacteria chlorophyll-a (Chl(BS)). We obtained counts of hospital visits for asthma, wheezing, and allergic rhinitis from the Wisconsin Hospital Association for ZIP codes within a 3-mile radius of Green Bay. We analyzed weekly counts of hospital visits versus cyanobacteria, which was modelled as a continuous measure (Chl(BS)) or categorized according to World Health Organization's (WHO) alert levels using Poisson generalized linear models. Our data included 2743 individual hospital visits and 114 weeks of satellite derived cyanobacteria biomass indicator data. Peak values of Chl(BS) were observed between the months of June and October. Using the WHO alert levels, 60% of weeks were categorized as no risk, 19% as Vigilance Level, 15% as Alert Level 1, and 6% as Alert Level 2. In Poisson regression models adjusted for temperature, dewpoint, season, and year, there was no association between Chl(BS) and hospital visits (rate ratio [RR] [95% Confidence Interval (CI)] = 0.98 [0.77, 1.24]). There was also no consistent association between WHO alert level and hospital visits when adjusting for covariates (Vigilance Level: RR [95% CI] 0.88 [0.74, 1.05], Alert Level 1: 0.82 [0.67, 0.99], Alert Level 2: 0.98 [0.77, 1.24], compared to the reference no risk category). Our methodology and model provide a template for future studies that assess the association between cyanobacterial blooms and respiratory health. |
Community spread of a human monkeypox virus variant with a tecovirimat resistance-associated mutation
Garrigues JM , Hemarajata P , Espinosa A , Hacker JK , Wynn NT , Smith TG , Gigante CM , Davidson W , Vega J , Edmondson H , Karan A , Marutani AN , Kim M , Terashita D , Balter SE , Hutson CL , Green NM . Antimicrob Agents Chemother 2023 67 (11) e0097223 Tecovirimat, also known as TPOXX or ST-246, is a drug available for the treatment of mpox. Tecovirimat targets the conserved orthopoxvirus VP37 protein (also known as F13) required for extracellular virus particle generation (1, 2). Multiple VP37 mutations associated with tecovirimat resistance have been reported within the current global mpox outbreak in immunocompromised individuals with advanced HIV infection (3 – 5). In many of these cases, resistance mutation heterogeneity was observed following tecovirimat exposure, suggesting resistance emerged under selective pressure during treatment. | To monitor circulating monkeypox virus (MPXV) within California, a genomic surveillance network was established whereby clinical and commercial laboratories provided positive specimens for whole-genome sequencing using an amplicon-based protocol and subsequent analysis (6 – 9). Through this surveillance, 11 mpox cases were identified in southern California with the same tecovirimat resistance-associated mutation (Table 1): a three-nucleotide deletion in the vaccinia virus Copenhagen F13L gene homolog (OPG057) resulting in asparagine removed from position 267 in the VP37 protein (VP37:N267del) (5) (https://www.fda.gov/emergency-preparedness-and-response/mcm-issues/fda-mpox-response#therapeutics). VP37:N267del was the only tecovirimat resistance-associated mutation detected in identified specimens and had allele frequencies greater than 89% in all instances, suggesting infections may have occurred with predominantly mutant virus. Phenotypic testing in vitro (3 – 5) confirmed tecovirimat resistance in ten identified specimens with EC50 values ranging from 1.488 to 3.977 µM, corresponding to an 85- to 230-fold change compared to wild-type isolates. |
Fungal diversity in homes and asthma morbidity among school-age children in New York City
Cochran SJ , Acosta L , Divjan A , Lemons AR , Rundle AG , Miller RL , Sobek E , Green BJ , Perzanowski MS , Dannemiller KC . Environ Res 2023 239 117296 BACKGROUND: Asthma development has been inversely associated with exposure to fungal diversity. However, the influence of fungi on measures of asthma morbidity is not well understood. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to test the hypothesis that fungal diversity is inversely associated with neighborhood asthma prevalence and identify specific fungal species associated with asthma morbidity. METHODS: Children aged 7-8 years (n = 347) living in higher (11-18%) and lower (3-9%) asthma prevalence neighborhoods were recruited within an asthma case-control study. Fungal communities were analyzed from floor dust using high-throughput DNA sequencing. A subset of asthmatic children (n = 140) was followed to age 10-11 to determine asthma persistence. RESULTS: Neighborhood asthma prevalence was inversely associated with fungal species richness (P = 0.010) and Shannon diversity (P = 0.059). Associations between neighborhood asthma prevalence and diversity indices were driven by differences in building type and presence of bedroom carpet. Among children with asthma at age 7-8 years, Shannon fungal diversity was inversely associated with frequent asthma symptoms at that age (OR 0.57, P = 0.025) and with asthma persistence to age 10-11 (OR 0.48, P = 0.043). Analyses of individual fungal species did not show significant associations with asthma outcomes when adjusted for false discovery rates. DISCUSSION: Lower fungal diversity was associated with asthma symptoms in this urban setting. Individual fungal species associated with asthma morbidity were not detected. Further research is warranted into building type, carpeting, and other environmental characteristics which influence fungal exposures in homes. |
Medicaid coverage of guidelines-based asthma care across 50 states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico, 2021-2022
Link J , Green H , Kaplan B , Collins P , Welch P , Johnson C . Prev Chronic Dis 2023 20 E79 INTRODUCTION: Asthma affects more than 25 million Americans, including 4.2 million children. The burden of asthma disproportionately affects people enrolled in Medicaid, among other disparate groups. Improved availability and accessibility of guidelines-based treatments and services may ensure positive health outcomes for people with asthma. In this article, we provide an update to the American Lung Association's Asthma Guidelines-Based Care Coverage Project (the Project) to determine the extent of asthma care coverage and associated barriers in Medicaid programs for all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico, and examine improvements in coverage since 2017. METHODS: Findings from the Project, representing coverage from 2016-2017, were first published in Preventing Chronic Disease in 2018. The Project was updated in 2021 to reflect the National Asthma Education and Prevention Program guidelines 2020 Expert Panel Report-3 updates, which were finalized in December 2020. It now tracks coverage for 8 areas of guidelines-based care and 7 barriers to care in Medicaid programs by reviewing publicly available plan documents and engaging with Medicaid programs to review and confirm findings. RESULTS: Results from the Project, which reflect coverage in 2021-2022, show an increase in comprehensive coverage in Medicaid programs over the last 5 years. However, coverage remains inconsistent across programs, and barriers to accessing asthma care still exist. CONCLUSION: Although substantial improvement has been made to coverage, certain gaps and barriers to care must be addressed for patients to fully benefit from guidelines-based care to manage their asthma and improve health outcomes. |
Adjunctive diagnostic studies completed following detection of candidemia in children: Secondary analysis of observed practice from a multicenter cohort study conducted by The Pediatric Fungal Network
Wattier RL , Bucayu RFT , Boge CLK , Ross RK , Yildirim I , Zaoutis TE , Palazzi DL , Vora SB , Castagnola E , Avilés-Robles M , Danziger-Isakov L , Tribble AC , Sharma TS , Arrieta AC , Maron G , Berman DM , Yin DE , Sung L , Green M , Roilides E , Belani K , Romero J , Soler-Palacin P , López-Medina E , Nolt D , Bin Hussain IZ , Muller WJ , Hauger SB , Halasa N , Dulek D , Pong A , Gonzalez BE , Abzug MJ , Carlesse F , Huppler AR , Rajan S , Aftandilian C , Ardura MI , Chakrabarti A , Hanisch B , Salvatore CM , Klingspor L , Knackstedt ED , Lutsar I , Santolaya ME , Shuster S , Johnson SK , Steinbach WJ , Fisher BT . J Pediatric Infect Dis Soc 2023 12 (9) 487-495 BACKGROUND: Adjunctive diagnostic studies (aDS) are recommended to identify occult dissemination in patients with candidemia. Patterns of evaluation with aDS across pediatric settings are unknown. METHODS: Candidemia episodes were included in a secondary analysis of a multicenter comparative effectiveness study that prospectively enrolled participants age 120 days -17 years with invasive candidiasis (predominantly candidemia) from 2014-2017. Ophthalmologic examination, abdominal imaging, echocardiogram, neuroimaging, and lumbar puncture were performed per clinician discretion. aDS performance and positive results were determined per episode, within 30 days from candidemia onset. Associations of aDS performance with episode characteristics were evaluated via mixed effects logistic regression. RESULTS: In 662 pediatric candidemia episodes, 490 (74%) underwent abdominal imaging, 450 (68%) ophthalmologic examination, 426 (64%) echocardiogram, 160 (24%) neuroimaging, and 76 (11%) lumbar puncture; performance of each aDS per episode varied across sites up to 16-fold. Longer durations of candidemia were associated with undergoing ophthalmologic examination, abdominal imaging, and echocardiogram. Immunocompromised status (58% of episodes) was associated with undergoing abdominal imaging (aOR 2.38; 95% CI 1.51-3.74). Intensive care at candidemia onset (30% of episodes) was associated with undergoing echocardiogram (aOR 2.42; 95% CI 1.51-3.88). Among evaluated episodes, positive ophthalmologic examination was reported in 15 (3%), abdominal imaging in 30 (6%), echocardiogram in 14 (3%), neuroimaging in 9 (6%) and lumbar puncture in 3 (4%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show heterogeneity in practice, with some clinicians performing aDS selectively, potentially influenced by clinical factors. The low frequency of positive results suggests that targeted application of aDS is warranted. |
A Bayesian method for exposure prevalence comparison during foodborne disease outbreak investigations
Khan MA , Bruce BB , Bottichio L , Wise M . Foodborne Pathog Dis 2023 20 (9) 414-418 Abstract CDC and health departments investigate foodborne disease outbreaks to identify a source. To generate and test hypotheses about vehicles, investigators typically compare exposure prevalence among case-patients with the general population using a one-sample binomial test. We propose a Bayesian alternative that also accounts for uncertainty in the estimate of exposure prevalence in the reference population. We compared exposure prevalence in a 2020 outbreak of Escherichia coli O157:H7 illnesses linked to leafy greens with 2018-2019 FoodNet Population Survey estimates. We ran prospective simulations using our Bayesian approach at three time points during the investigation. The posterior probability that leafy green consumption prevalence was higher than the general population prevalence increased as additional case-patients were interviewed. Probabilities were >0.70 for multiple leafy green items 2 weeks before the exact binomial p-value was statistically significant. A Bayesian approach to assessing exposure prevalence among cases could be superior to the one-sample binomial test typically used during foodborne outbreak investigations. |
What do United States adolescents eat? Food group consumption patterns and dietary diversity from a decade of nationally representative data
Jenkins M , Jefferds MED , Aburto NJ , Ramakrishnan U , Martorell R , Addo OY . Curr Dev Nutr 2023 7 (8) 101968 BACKGROUND: Although the importance of adolescent nutrition has gained attention in the global nutrition community, there is a gap in research focused on adolescent dietary diversity and food group consumption. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to characterize population-level food group consumption patterns and quantify the extent of dietary diversity among United States adolescents using a large nationally representative sample of adolescents aged 10-19 y. METHODS: We used 24-h dietary recall data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2007 to 2018 to construct the 10 food groups comprising the minimum dietary diversity for women (MDD-W) indicator and estimated the prevalence of intake of each food group. A composite metric adolescent dietary diversity score (ADDS) was derived for each adolescent where 1 point was awarded per food group. Both population scores and the distribution of individual scores were estimated. Differences in proportions of food groups consumed across sociodemographic categories were tested using the Rao-Scott χ(2) test, and pairwise comparisons were expressed as population prevalence differences and prevalence ratios. RESULTS: Food group consumption patterns were very similar across 2 d of dietary recall but varied significantly by sex, race/ethnicity, and income status. The food groups with the highest prevalence of consumption were grains, white, roots, and tubers (∼99%), milk products (∼92%), and meat, poultry, and fish (∼85%), whereas <15% of adolescents consumed key micronutrient-dense foods, such as vitamin A-rich fruits and vegetables and dark green vegetables. The mean ADDS was 4.69, with modest variation across strata. CONCLUSIONS: On average, United States youth consumed fewer than 5 food groups on a given day. The lack of dietary variety and relatively low prevalence of consumption of several micronutrient-rich plant-based foods could pose a risk for adolescents' ability to achieve micronutrient adequacy in the United States. |
Historical shift in pathological type of progressive massive fibrosis among coal miners in the USA
Go LHT , Rose CS , Zell-Baran LM , Almberg KS , Iwaniuk C , Clingerman S , Richardson DL , Abraham JL , Cool CD , Franko AD , Green FHY , Hubbs AF , Murray J , Orandle MS , Sanyal S , Vorajee NI , Sarver EA , Petsonk EL , Cohen RA . Occup Environ Med 2023 80 (8) 425-430 BACKGROUND: Pneumoconiosis among coal miners in the USA has been resurgent over the past two decades, despite modern dust controls and regulatory standards. Previously published studies have suggested that respirable crystalline silica (RCS) is a contributor to this disease resurgence. However, evidence has been primarily indirect, in the form of radiographic features. METHODS: We obtained lung tissue specimens and data from the National Coal Workers' Autopsy Study. We evaluated specimens for the presence of progressive massive fibrosis (PMF) and used histopathological classifications to type these specimens into coal-type, mixed-type and silica-type PMF. Rates of each were compared by birth cohort. Logistic regression was used to assess demographic and mining characteristics associated with silica-type PMF. RESULTS: Of 322 cases found to have PMF, study pathologists characterised 138 (43%) as coal-type, 129 (40%) as mixed-type and 55 (17%) as silica-type PMF. Among earlier birth cohorts, coal-type and mixed-type PMF were more common than silica-type PMF, but their rates declined in later birth cohorts. In contrast, the rate of silica-type PMF did not decline in cases from more recent birth cohorts. More recent year of birth was significantly associated with silica-type PMF. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings demonstrate a shift in PMF types among US coal miners, from a predominance of coal- and mixed-type PMF to a more commonly encountered silica-type PMF. These results are further evidence of the prominent role of RCS in the pathogenesis of pneumoconiosis among contemporary US coal miners. |
Use of U.S. Blood Donors for National Serosurveillance of SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies: Basis for an Expanded National Donor Serosurveillance Program (preprint)
Stone M , Di Germanio C , Wright DJ , Sulaeman H , Dave H , Fink RV , Notari EP , Green V , Strauss D , Kessler D , Destree M , Saa P , Williamson PC , Simmons G , Stramer SL , Opsomer J , Jones JM , Kleinman S , Busch MP . medRxiv 2021 2021.05.01.21255576 Introduction The REDS-IV-P Epidemiology, Surveillance and Preparedness of the Novel SARS-CoV-2 Epidemic (RESPONSE) seroprevalence study conducted monthly cross-sectional testing for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies on blood donors in six U.S. metropolitan regions to estimate the extent of SARS-COV-2 infections over time.Study Design/Methods During March-August 2020, approximately ≥1,000 serum specimens were collected monthly from each region and tested for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies using a well-validated algorithm. Regional seroprevalence estimates were weighted based on demographic differences with the general population. Seroprevalence was compared with reported COVID-19 case rates over time.Results/Findings For all regions, seroprevalence was <1.0% in March 2020. New York experienced the biggest increase (peak seroprevalence, 15.8 % in May). All other regions experienced modest increases in seroprevalence(1-2% in May-June to 2-4% in July-August). Seroprevalence was higher in younger, non-Hispanic Black, and Hispanic donors. Temporal increases in donor seroprevalence correlated with reported case rates in each region. In August, 1.3-5.6 estimated cumulative infections (based on seroprevalence data) per COVID-19 case reported to CDC.Conclusion Increases in seroprevalence were found in all regions, with the largest increase in New York. Seroprevalence was higher in non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic blood donors than in non-Hispanic White blood donors. SARS-CoV-2 antibody testing of blood donor samples can be used to estimate the seroprevalence in the general population by region and demographic group. The methods derived from the RESPONSE seroprevalence study served as the basis for expanding SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence surveillance to all 50 states and Puerto Rico.Summary SARS-CoV-2 serosurveillance data from blood donors in 6 US regions were used to estimate population weighted seroprevalence. Seroprevelance rates were higher in case rates. The study was expanded to a national donor serosurveillance program.Disclaimer The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not represent the policy of the National Institutes of Health or the Department of Health and Human Services. Any specific brandnames included in this manuscript are for identification purposes only and are not intended to represent an endorsement by CDC. The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authorsand do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention.Competing Interest StatementThe authors have declared no competing interest.Funding StatementThe authors were supported by research contracts from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI Contracts HHSN 75N92019D00032 and HHSN 75N92019D00033) as well as with funding support from the National Institute of Allergies and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), NIH.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:The study was reviewed by the UCSF Committee for Human Research and determined to meet the definition of research as defined in 46.102(l) but did not involve human subjects based on anonymization of data and routine consent for blood donation testing that includes use of residual samples for research purposes (as defined in 46.103(e)(1) consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy (45 C.F.R. part 46; 21 C.F.R. part 56; 42 U.S.C. p241(d), 5 U.S.C. p552a, 44 U.S.C. p3501)).All necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a pros ective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesThe data is not being made publicly available for privacy reasons related to federal regulations but a limited dataset may be made available upon request after formal review by NHLBI and CDC's privacy office before release. |
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US (preprint)
Cramer EY , Ray EL , Lopez VK , Bracher J , Brennen A , Castro Rivadeneira AJ , Gerding A , Gneiting T , House KH , Huang Y , Jayawardena D , Kanji AH , Khandelwal A , Le K , Mühlemann A , Niemi J , Shah A , Stark A , Wang Y , Wattanachit N , Zorn MW , Gu Y , Jain S , Bannur N , Deva A , Kulkarni M , Merugu S , Raval A , Shingi S , Tiwari A , White J , Abernethy NF , Woody S , Dahan M , Fox S , Gaither K , Lachmann M , Meyers LA , Scott JG , Tec M , Srivastava A , George GE , Cegan JC , Dettwiller ID , England WP , Farthing MW , Hunter RH , Lafferty B , Linkov I , Mayo ML , Parno MD , Rowland MA , Trump BD , Zhang-James Y , Chen S , Faraone SV , Hess J , Morley CP , Salekin A , Wang D , Corsetti SM , Baer TM , Eisenberg MC , Falb K , Huang Y , Martin ET , McCauley E , Myers RL , Schwarz T , Sheldon D , Gibson GC , Yu R , Gao L , Ma Y , Wu D , Yan X , Jin X , Wang YX , Chen Y , Guo L , Zhao Y , Gu Q , Chen J , Wang L , Xu P , Zhang W , Zou D , Biegel H , Lega J , McConnell S , Nagraj VP , Guertin SL , Hulme-Lowe C , Turner SD , Shi Y , Ban X , Walraven R , Hong QJ , Kong S , van de Walle A , Turtle JA , Ben-Nun M , Riley S , Riley P , Koyluoglu U , DesRoches D , Forli P , Hamory B , Kyriakides C , Leis H , Milliken J , Moloney M , Morgan J , Nirgudkar N , Ozcan G , Piwonka N , Ravi M , Schrader C , Shakhnovich E , Siegel D , Spatz R , Stiefeling C , Wilkinson B , Wong A , Cavany S , España G , Moore S , Oidtman R , Perkins A , Kraus D , Kraus A , Gao Z , Bian J , Cao W , Lavista Ferres J , Li C , Liu TY , Xie X , Zhang S , Zheng S , Vespignani A , Chinazzi M , Davis JT , Mu K , Pastore YPiontti A , Xiong X , Zheng A , Baek J , Farias V , Georgescu A , Levi R , Sinha D , Wilde J , Perakis G , Bennouna MA , Nze-Ndong D , Singhvi D , Spantidakis I , Thayaparan L , Tsiourvas A , Sarker A , Jadbabaie A , Shah D , Della Penna N , Celi LA , Sundar S , Wolfinger R , Osthus D , Castro L , Fairchild G , Michaud I , Karlen D , Kinsey M , Mullany LC , Rainwater-Lovett K , Shin L , Tallaksen K , Wilson S , Lee EC , Dent J , Grantz KH , Hill AL , Kaminsky J , Kaminsky K , Keegan LT , Lauer SA , Lemaitre JC , Lessler J , Meredith HR , Perez-Saez J , Shah S , Smith CP , Truelove SA , Wills J , Marshall M , Gardner L , Nixon K , Burant JC , Wang L , Gao L , Gu Z , Kim M , Li X , Wang G , Wang Y , Yu S , Reiner RC , Barber R , Gakidou E , Hay SI , Lim S , Murray C , Pigott D , Gurung HL , Baccam P , Stage SA , Suchoski BT , Prakash BA , Adhikari B , Cui J , Rodríguez A , Tabassum A , Xie J , Keskinocak P , Asplund J , Baxter A , Oruc BE , Serban N , Arik SO , Dusenberry M , Epshteyn A , Kanal E , Le LT , Li CL , Pfister T , Sava D , Sinha R , Tsai T , Yoder N , Yoon J , Zhang L , Abbott S , Bosse NI , Funk S , Hellewell J , Meakin SR , Sherratt K , Zhou M , Kalantari R , Yamana TK , Pei S , Shaman J , Li ML , Bertsimas D , Skali Lami O , Soni S , Tazi Bouardi H , Ayer T , Adee M , Chhatwal J , Dalgic OO , Ladd MA , Linas BP , Mueller P , Xiao J , Wang Y , Wang Q , Xie S , Zeng D , Green A , Bien J , Brooks L , Hu AJ , Jahja M , McDonald D , Narasimhan B , Politsch C , Rajanala S , Rumack A , Simon N , Tibshirani RJ , Tibshirani R , Ventura V , Wasserman L , O'Dea EB , Drake JM , Pagano R , Tran QT , Ho LST , Huynh H , Walker JW , Slayton RB , Johansson MA , Biggerstaff M , Reich NG . medRxiv 2021 2021.02.03.21250974 Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general public and decision-makers. Forecasting models provide specific, quantitative, and evaluable predictions that inform short-term decisions such as healthcare staffing needs, school closures, and allocation of medical supplies. In 2020, the COVID-19 Forecast Hub (https://covid19forecasthub.org/) collected, disseminated, and synthesized hundreds of thousands of specific predictions from more than 50 different academic, industry, and independent research groups. This manuscript systematically evaluates 23 models that regularly submitted forecasts of reported weekly incident COVID-19 mortality counts in the US at the state and national level. One of these models was a multi-model ensemble that combined all available forecasts each week. The performance of individual models showed high variability across time, geospatial units, and forecast horizons. Half of the models evaluated showed better accuracy than a naïve baseline model. In combining the forecasts from all teams, the ensemble showed the best overall probabilistic accuracy of any model. Forecast accuracy degraded as models made predictions farther into the future, with probabilistic accuracy at a 20-week horizon more than 5 times worse than when predicting at a 1-week horizon. This project underscores the role that collaboration and active coordination between governmental public health agencies, academic modeling teams, and industry partners can play in developing modern modeling capabilities to support local, state, and federal response to outbreaks.Competing Interest StatementAV, MC, and APP report grants from Metabiota Inc outside the submitted work.Funding StatementFor teams that reported receiving funding for their work, we report the sources and disclosures below. CMU-TimeSeries: CDC Center of Excellence, gifts from Google and Facebook. CU-select: NSF DMS-2027369 and a gift from the Morris-Singer Foundation. COVIDhub: This work has been supported by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (1U01IP001122) and the National Institutes of General Medical Sciences (R35GM119582). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of CDC, NIGMS or the National Institutes of Health. Johannes Bracher was supported by the Helmholtz Foundation via the SIMCARD Information& Data Science Pilot Project. Tilmann Gneiting gratefully acknowledges support by the Klaus Tschira Foundation. DDS-NBDS: NSF III-1812699. EPIFORECASTS-ENSEMBLE1: Wellcome Trust (210758/Z/18/Z) GT_CHHS-COVID19: William W. George Endowment, Virginia C. and Joseph C. Mello Endowments, NSF DGE-1650044, NSF MRI 1828187, research cyberinfrastructure resources and services provided by the Partnership for an Advanced Computing Environment (PACE) at Georgia Tech, and the following benefactors at Georgia Tech: Andrea Laliberte, Joseph C. Mello, Richard Rick E. & Charlene Zalesky, and Claudia & Paul Raines GT-DeepCOVID: CDC MInD-Healthcare U01CK000531-Supplement. NSF (Expeditions CCF-1918770, CAREER IIS-2028586, RAPID IIS-2027862, Medium IIS-1955883, NRT DGE-1545362), CDC MInD program, ORNL and funds/computing resources from Georgia Tech and GTRI. IHME: This work was supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, as well as funding from the state of Washington and the National Science Foundation (award no. FAIN: 2031096). IowaStateLW-STEM: Iowa State University Plant Sciences Institute Scholars Program, NSF DMS-1916204, NSF CCF-1934884, Laurence H. Baker Center for Bioinformatics and Biological Statistics. JHU_IDD-CovidSP: State of California, US Dept of Health and Human Services, US Dept of Homeland Security, US Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance, Johns Hopkins Health System, Office of the Dean at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University Modeling and Policy Hub, Centers fo Disease Control and Prevention (5U01CK000538-03), University of Utah Immunology, Inflammation, & Infectious Disease Initiative (26798 Seed Grant). LANL-GrowthRate: LANL LDRD 20200700ER. MOBS-GLEAM_COVID: COVID Supplement CDC-HHS-6U01IP001137-01. NotreDame-mobility and NotreDame-FRED: NSF RAPID DEB 2027718 UA-EpiCovDA: NSF RAPID Grant # 2028401. UCSB-ACTS: NSF RAPID IIS 2029626. UCSD-NEU: Google Faculty Award, DARPA W31P4Q-21-C-0014, COVID Supplement CDC-HHS-6U01IP001137-01. UMass-MechBayes: NIGMS R35GM119582, NSF 1749854. UMich-RidgeTfReg: The University of Michigan Physics Department and the University of Michigan Office of Research.Author DeclarationsI confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.YesThe details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:UMass-Amherst IRBAll necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived.YesI understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).YesI have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable.YesAll data and code referred to in the manuscript are publicly available. https://github.com/reichlab/covid19-forecast-hub/ https://github.com/reichlab/covidEnsembles https://zoltardata.com/project/44 |
Field evaluation of malachite green loop-mediated isothermal amplification as a malaria parasite detection tool in a health post in Roraima state, Brazil (preprint)
Kudyba HM , Louzada J , Ljolje D , Kudyba KA , Muralidharan V , Oliveira-Ferreira J , Lucchi NW . bioRxiv 2018 408609 Malaria is a debilitating parasitic disease that causes significant morbidity and mortality. Microscopic detection of parasites is currently the “gold standard” diagnostic. This technique is limited in its ability to detect low-density infections, is time consuming, and requires a highly trained microscopist. Malaria epidemiological surveillance studies especially aimed at the detection of low-density infection and asymptomatic cases will require more sensitive and user-friendly tools. We have shown previously that the molecular-based, colorimetric malachite green loop-mediated isothermal amplification (MG-LAMP) assay is a valuable tool for diagnosing malaria infection in a laboratory setting. In this study, we field evaluated this assay in a malaria diagnostic post in Roraima, Brazil. We prospectively collected 91 patient samples and performed microscopy, MG-LAMP, and real-time PCR (PET-PCR) to detect Plasmodium infection. Two independent readers were used to score the MG-LAMP tests to assess whether the sample was positive (blue/green) or negative (clear). There was 100% agreement between the two readers (Kappa=1). All tests detected 33 positive samples, but both the MG-LAMP and PET-PCR detected 6 and 7 more positive samples, respectively. The PET-PCR assay detected 6 mixed infections (defined as infection with both P. falciparum and P. vivax) while microscopy detected one and MG-LAMP detected two of these mixed infections. Microscopy did not detect any Plasmodium infection in 26 of the enrolled asymptomatic cases while MG-LAMP detected five and PET-PCR assay three positive cases. Overall, MG-LAMP provided a simpler and user-friendly molecular method for malaria diagnosis that is more sensitive than microscopy. Additionally, MG- LAMP has the capacity to test 38 samples per run (one hour), allowing for the screening of large number of samples which is appealing when large-scale studies are necessary e.g. in community surveillance studies. The current MG-LAMP assay was limited in its ability to detect mixed infection when compared to the PET-PCR, but otherwise proved to be a powerful tool for malaria parasite detection in the field and opens new perspectives in the implementation of surveillance studies in malaria elimination campaigns. |
Mucosal and systemic neutralizing antibodies to norovirus and rotavirus by oral immunization with recombinant rotavirus in infant mice (preprint)
Kawagishi T , Sanchez-Tacuba L , Feng N , Costantini VP , Tan M , Jiang X , Green KY , Vinje J , Ding S , Greenberg HB . bioRxiv 2022 02 Rotaviruses (RVs) preferentially replicate in the small intestine, frequently cause severe diarrheal disease, and following enteric infection generally induce variable levels of protective systemic and mucosal immune responses in humans and other animals. Rhesus rotavirus (RRV) is a simian RV that was previously used as a human RV vaccine and has been extensively studied in mice. Although RRV replicates poorly in the suckling mouse intestine, infection induces a robust and protective antibody response. The recent availability of plasmid-based RV reverse genetics systems has enabled the generation of recombinant RVs expressing foreign proteins. However, recombinant RVs have not yet been experimentally tested as potential vaccine vectors to immunize against other gastrointestinal pathogens in vivo. This is a missed opportunity because several live-attenuated RV vaccines are already widely administered to infants and young children worldwide. To explore the feasibility of using RV as a dual vaccine vector, we rescued a replication-competent recombinant RRV harboring bicistronic gene segment 7 that encodes both the native RV NSP3 protein and a human norovirus (HuNoV) VP1 protein from the predominant genotype GII.4 (rRRV-HuNoV-VP1). The rRRV-HuNoV-VP1 expressed HuNoV VP1 in infected cells in vitro and importantly, elicited both systemic and local antibody responses to HuNoV following oral infection of suckling mice. Serum IgG and fecal IgA from infected suckling mice bound to and neutralized both RV and HuNoV. These findings have encouraging practical implications for the design of RV-based next-generation multivalent enteric vaccines to target HuNoV and other human enteric pathogens while providing immunity to RV. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. |
Impact and cost-effectiveness of frequent HIV re-testing among key populations in Viet Nam: A modeling study (preprint)
Green D , Coomes D , Barnabas RV , Sharma M , Barrdichiara M , Jamil MS , Owiredu MN , Macdonald V , Nguyen V , Vo Hai S , Wi TE , Johnson C , Drake AL . medRxiv 2022 02 Background HIV testing and counseling is a key component of HIV prevention and the entry point into the treatment cascade, which improves for individual clinical outcomes and reduces onward HIV transmission. Current guidelines recommend at least annual testing for key populations. More frequent testing could provide health benefits, but these additional services increase the program the cost-effectiveness is not well-evaluated. Methods We used a compartmental mathematical model to simulate the health and economic impact of HIV testing one to four times per year for men who have sex with men, people who inject drugs, and female sex workers in Viet Nam. Model outcomes included costs, HIV infections, HIV-related deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with each scenario. We used an opportunity cost-based cost-effectiveness threshold of US $2,255 per DALY averted, discounted costs and health benefits at 3% annually, and used a time horizon from 2021 to 2030 to calculate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Results Compared to the baseline scenario, more frequent HIV testing was estimated to incrementally avert 10.2%, 5.2%, 3.0%, and 1.6% discounted infections for one-, two-, three-, and four-tests per year, respectively. ICERs associated with each scenario ranged from $464, $1,190, $1,762, and $2,727 per DALY averted for one-, two-, three-, and four-tests per year, respectively. Conclusions Increased HIV testing frequency for key populations was projected to avert HIV incidence, mortality, and disability in Viet Nam and was cost-effective. Settings with a similar context should consider strategies on how to optimize retesting among key populations. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY 4.0 International license. |
Self-Reported Mask Use among Persons with or without SARS CoV-2 Vaccination -United States, December 2020-August 2021 (preprint)
Calamari LE , Weintraub WS , Santos R , Gibbs M , Bertoni AG , Ward LM , Saydah S , Plumb ID , Runyon MS , Wierzba TF , Sanders JW , Herrington D , Espeland MA , Williamson J , Mongraw-Chaffin M , Bertoni A , Alexander-Miller MA , Castri P , Mathews A , Munawar I , Seals AL , Ostasiewski B , Ballard CAP , Gurcan M , Ivanov A , Zapata GM , Westcott M , Blinson K , Blinson L , Mistysyn M , Davis D , Doomy L , Henderson P , Jessup A , Lane K , Levine B , McCanless J , McDaniel S , Melius K , O'Neill C , Pack A , Rathee R , Rushing S , Sheets J , Soots S , Wall M , Wheeler S , White J , Wilkerson L , Wilson R , Wilson K , Burcombe D , Saylor G , Lunn M , Ordonez K , O'Steen A , Wagner L , McCurdy LH , Gibbs MA , Taylor YJ , Calamari L , Tapp H , Ahmed A , Brennan M , Munn L , Dantuluri KL , Hetherington T , Lu LC , Dunn C , Hogg M , Price A , Leonidas M , Manning M , Rossman W , Gohs FX , Harris A , Priem JS , Tochiki P , Wellinsky N , Silva C , Ludden T , Hernandez J , Spencer K , McAlister L , Weintraub W , Miller K , Washington C , Moses A , Dolman S , Zelaya-Portillo J , Erkus J , Blumenthal J , Romero Barrientos RE , Bennett S , Shah S , Mathur S , Boxley C , Kolm P , Franklin E , Ahmed N , Larsen M , Oberhelman R , Keating J , Kissinger P , Schieffelin J , Yukich J , Beron A , Teigen J , Kotloff K , Chen WH , Friedman-Klabanoff D , Berry AA , Powell H , Roane L , Datar R , Correa A , Navalkele B , Min YI , Castillo A , Ward L , Santos RP , Anugu P , Gao Y , Green J , Sandlin R , Moore D , Drake L , Horton D , Johnson KL , Stover M , Lagarde WH , Daniel L , Maguire PD , Hanlon CL , McFayden L , Rigo I , Hines K , Smith L , Harris M , Lissor B , Cook V , Eversole M , Herrin T , Murphy D , Kinney L , Diehl P , Abromitis N , Pierre TSt , Heckman B , Evans D , March J , Whitlock B , Moore W , Arthur S , Conway J , Gallaher TR , Johanson M , Brown S , Dixon T , Reavis M , Henderson S , Zimmer M , Oliver D , Jackson K , Menon M , Bishop B , Roeth R , King-Thiele R , Hamrick TS , Ihmeidan A , Hinkelman A , Okafor C , Bray Brown RB , Brewster A , Bouyi D , Lamont K , Yoshinaga K , Vinod P , Peela AS , Denbel G , Lo J , Mayet-Khan M , Mittal A , Motwani R , Raafat M , Schultz E , Joseph A , Parkeh A , Patel D , Afridi B , Uschner D , Edelstein SL , Santacatterina M , Strylewicz G , Burke B , Gunaratne M , Turney M , Zhou SQ , Tjaden AH , Fette L , Buahin A , Bott M , Graziani S , Soni A , Mores C , Porzucek A , Laborde R , Acharya P , Guill L , Lamphier D , Schaefer A , Satterwhite WM , McKeague A , Ward J , Naranjo DP , Darko N , Castellon K , Brink R , Shehzad H , Kuprianov D , McGlasson D , Hayes D , Edwards S , Daphnis S , Todd B , Goodwin A , Berkelman R , Hanson K , Zeger S , Hopkins J , Reilly C , Edwards K , Gayle H , Redd S . medRxiv 2022 10 Wearing a facemask can help to decrease the transmission of COVID-19. We investigated self-reported mask use among subjects aged 18 years and older participating in the COVID-19 Community Research Partnership (CRP), a prospective longitudinal COVID-19 surveillance study in the mid-Atlantic and southeastern United States. We included those participants who completed >=5 daily surveys each month from December 1, 2020 through August 31, 2021. Mask use was defined as self-reported use of a face mask or face covering on every interaction with others outside the household within a distance of less than 6 feet. Participants were considered vaccinated if they reported receiving >=1 COVID-19 vaccine dose. Participants (n=17,522) were 91% non-Hispanic White, 68% female, median age 57 years, 26% healthcare workers, with 95% self-reported receiving >=1 COVID-19 vaccine dose through August; mean daily survey response was 85%. Mask use was higher among vaccinated than unvaccinated participants across the study period, regardless of the month of the first dose. Mask use remained relatively stable from December 2020 through April (range 71-80% unvaccinated; 86-93% vaccinated) and declined in both groups beginning in mid-May 2021 to 34% and 42% respectively in June 2021; mask use has increased again since July 2021. Mask use by all was lower during weekends and on Christmas and Easter, regardless of vaccination status. Independent predictors of higher mask use were vaccination, age >=65 years, female sex, racial or ethnic minority group, and healthcare worker occupation, whereas a history of self-reported prior COVID-19 illness was associated with lower use. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. This article is a US Government work. It is not subject to copyright under 17 USC 105 and is also made available for use under a CC0 license. |
Late remdesivir treatment initiation partially protects African green monkeys from lethal Nipah virus infection
de Wit E , Williamson BN , Feldmann F , Goldin K , Lo MK , Okumura A , Lovaglio J , Bunyan E , Porter DP , Cihlar T , Saturday G , Spiropoulou CF , Feldmann H . Antiviral Res 2023 216 105658 Remdesivir is a nucleotide prodrug with preclinical efficacy against lethal Nipah virus infection in African green monkeys when administered 1 day post inoculation (dpi) (Lo et al., 2019). Here, we determined whether remdesivir treatment was still effective when treatment administration initiation was delayed until 3 dpi. Three groups of six African green monkeys were inoculated with a lethal dose of Nipah virus, genotype Bangladesh. On 3 dpi, one group received a loading dose of 10 mg/kg remdesivir followed by daily dosing with 5 mg/kg for 11 days, one group received 10 mg/kg on 12 consecutive days, and the remaining group received an equivalent volume of vehicle solution. Remdesivir treatment initiation on 3 dpi provided partial protection from severe Nipah virus disease that was dose dependent, with 67% of animals in the high dose group surviving the challenge. However, remdesivir treatment did not prevent clinical disease, and surviving animals showed histologic lesions in the brain. Thus, early administration seems critical for effective remdesivir treatment during Nipah virus infection. |
- Page last reviewed:Feb 1, 2024
- Page last updated:May 06, 2024
- Content source:
- Powered by CDC PHGKB Infrastructure